Global Implications of India’s Second COVID-19 Surge

India’s ferocious second COVID-19 wave, which began in March 2021, resulted in over 19 million cases and 240,000 deaths (as per official accounts) by June 2021. Many experts believe that India’s Integrated Disease Surveillance Program (IDSP), which relies on COVID-19 reporting from laboratories and hospitals, has vastly underestimated cases and deaths, especially at the peak of the wave when medical facilities were overwhelmed and many deaths occurred outside of hospitals. The true death toll is estimated to be 3 to 10 times higher than the officially reported number.